Your 5 weekly reads:
Gas prices fall below $4 as the Strait of Hormuz is set to reopen
Warsh held rates at 3.50%-3.75% during his first meeting as Fed Chair
Fed participants now expect a rate hike before year-end
Deducting charitable gifts without itemizing in 2026
MANGOS is the new Big Tech acronym to watch
1. MARKET ROUNDUP
The Strait of Hormuz Reopens

SpaceX's record IPO lost heat after the stock peaked near $225 on Tuesday, sliding two straight days to ~$185 — still 37% above IPO.
The Fed held rates at 3.50%–3.75% in Warsh's first meeting — but its dot plot now sees end-2026 at 3.8%, pointing to a hike, not a cut.
The Strait of Hormuz is set to reopen toll-free for 60 days under a U.S.–Iran deal. Crude slid below $80 even though the tanker backlog may take weeks to clear.
Range Takeaway: The Strait of Hormuz is reopening. Trump and Iran signed a 60-day reopening agreement Wednesday night, and relief is already showing up at the pump. The national average for gasoline slipped back under $4 on Thursday, down 12% from its May peak. Don't expect pre-war levels overnight, but analysts say sub-$3 gas is possible late this year if the truce holds. Cheaper diesel should ease freight and food costs next.
2. THE BIG TAKE
Warsh's Debut: A New Tone, A Familiar Fed

Kevin Warsh's first meeting as Fed Chair was always going to be a tone-setting exercise. And on that front, he delivered: less hand-holding, fewer breadcrumbs, and a clearly hawkish bias to remind us the Fed is still in the inflation-fighting business.
For many, it seemed like a major break. But history says otherwise. First speeches from new Fed Chairs almost always skew "hawkish"; by our count, the last nine all did. The bigger shift was communication. Warsh appears intent on saying less, not more. But even that isn't revolutionary. Before Bernanke began the tradition in 2011, markets did not get post-meeting press conferences, dot-plot theater, and constant attempts to pre-explain every policy move.
So yes, there is a new sheriff. But in many respects, this is a familiar Fed. One that doesn't say much, but talks tough when it does.
The real test will be follow-through. Talk is one thing; actually keeping rates tight when the tradeoffs get hard is another. For now, markets are taking Warsh at his word: rates moved sharply higher, the dollar strengthened, and investors began recalibrating to a Fed that may be less accommodative and less predictable.
This created some initial indigestion. But by the end of the trading week, investors seemed much more comfortable with the new regime. We think markets can live with a hawkish Fed when it's backed by a resilient economy and a real effort to tackle inflation that's still squeezing lower-income Americans. Better to get in front of inflation than relive 2022.
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3. BY THE NUMBERS
Inside the Fed's Hawkish Hold

3.50%–3.75%: The Fed's benchmark rate, after unanimously voting to hold rates steady.
3.8%: New median projection for the end-2026 rate, up from 3.4%, as the committee's base case flipped from a cut to a hike.
9 of 19: Policymakers who now pencil in at least one hike this year, versus 8 who see no change and just 1 expecting a cut. Fed Chair Warsh refused to offer a projection.
4. FROM THE RANGE TEAM
Don't Sleep on the New Charity Deduction

Here's a 2026 tax change worth a place on your radar: standard-deduction filers can once again deduct charitable cash gifts — up to $1,000 single, $2,000 married filing jointly. It's modest, but if you're already giving a few hundred dollars a year and taking the standard deduction, that's a federal benefit you simply couldn't claim the last few years.
A few catches worth flagging:
This is cash only — Goodwill drop-offs, appreciated securities, and contributions to donor-advised funds don't count toward this particular deduction.
Gifts to GoFundMe campaigns, political organizations, and individuals do not qualify (they never have).
You can't deduct the value of whatever you may receive in return (for a $500 gala ticket that includes a $100 dinner, you can only deduct the net $400).
The bigger picture for HNW households: if you itemize — increasingly common as SALT limits bite — charitable giving remains one of the most powerful levers for lowering your tax bill, well beyond this $1–2K floor.
5. THE DAILY RANGE
Get More from Range on Instagram
There’s less talk of the Mag 7 and more talk of MANGOS among retail traders. Could these be the new Big Tech stocks to watch?
That's just one of the stories we covered this week on our Instagram-native news show, The Daily Range. We also covered Google cofounder Sergey Brin's $42M Lake Tahoe mansion and the tax move behind it, SpaceX minting a new retail trading-volume record on its market debut, and Fox's $22B deal to buy Roku.
Follow us on Instagram @rangefinance to catch our videos next week.
RAI PROMPT OF THE WEEK

"Based on my goals and upcoming expenses, am I holding too much cash?"
Holding too much cash can mean giving up on significant market returns. To answer this question, Rai weighs your goals, upcoming expenses, and time horizon to tell you how much cash you actually need on hand — and flags where you might consider investing any idle cash that could be working harder.*
Before we go…
⛳ From Bloomberg: A $400 Golf Ticket in the Hamptons Is the Sports Deal of the Summer

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*Please see Range Advisory’s ADV Part 2A for important risk disclosures and risks related to the use of AI. Recommendations depend on the accuracy and completeness of the information you provide to us. Recommendations based on incorrect or incomplete data may not be accurate.


